Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.029102 0.031254 0.033499 0.036020 0.038776 0.041700 0.045042
2025-06-08 0.025123 0.028116 0.031400 0.035283 0.039765 0.044795 0.050895
2025-06-15 0.022605 0.026087 0.030053 0.034931 0.040806 0.047698 0.056462
2025-06-22 0.020742 0.024530 0.028978 0.034627 0.041671 0.050246 0.061598
2025-06-29 0.019097 0.023046 0.027799 0.034000 0.041964 0.051971 0.065689
2025-07-06 0.018183 0.022354 0.027491 0.034362 0.043437 0.055188 0.071846
2025-07-13 0.017248 0.021551 0.026958 0.034354 0.044366 0.057687 0.077157
2025-07-20 0.016593 0.021050 0.026759 0.034733 0.045788 0.060884 0.083620
2025-07-27 0.015790 0.020300 0.026172 0.034529 0.046360 0.062900 0.088491
2025-08-03 0.015063 0.019603 0.025607 0.034299 0.046851 0.064790 0.093269
2025-08-10 0.014414 0.018973 0.025091 0.034092 0.047334 0.066664 0.098120
2025-08-17 0.013857 0.018439 0.024671 0.033985 0.047936 0.068722 0.103376
2025-08-24 0.013211 0.017755 0.024015 0.033507 0.047965 0.069925 0.107386
2025-08-31 0.012573 0.017054 0.023301 0.032900 0.047755 0.070730 0.110786
2025-09-07 0.012072 0.016526 0.022809 0.032593 0.047978 0.072212 0.115418
2025-09-14 0.011617 0.016043 0.022356 0.032317 0.048220 0.073724 0.120194
2025-09-21 0.011110 0.015462 0.021733 0.031741 0.047942 0.074343 0.123411
2025-09-28 0.010881 0.015282 0.021697 0.032075 0.049149 0.077510 0.131483
2025-10-05 0.010578 0.014977 0.021456 0.032067 0.049783 0.079726 0.137961
2025-10-12 0.010382 0.014825 0.021441 0.032416 0.051026 0.083071 0.146860
2025-10-19 0.010066 0.014478 0.021108 0.032228 0.051337 0.084767 0.152675
2025-10-26 0.009762 0.014138 0.020772 0.032017 0.051590 0.086365 0.158411
2025-11-02 0.009480 0.013820 0.020458 0.031826 0.051862 0.088006 0.164365